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INFER's Best of 2023. Congratulations to BestWorld's Dawna Coutant (DKC) for being rated the best overall geopolitical forecaster, while Bestworld's Carolyn Meinel (cmeinel) came in third. Pictured below, INFER's top seven 2023 forecasters.
February 21, 2023 Our BestWorld researchers Dawna Coutant and Carolyn Meinel were among the eight forecasters to win INFER's Best of 2022 awards. These were based upon a combination of high forecasting accuracies plus high numbers of upvotes.
INFER, short for INtegrated Forecasting and Estimates of Risk, is a forecasting program designed to generate valuable signals and early warning about the future of critical science and technology trends and high-risk geopolitical events for U.S. Government policymakers. INFER empowers scientists, researchers, analysts, and hobbyists from inside and outside the U.S. Government to have a direct impact on policy and decision-making. The public portion of INFER is one of multiple forecasting sites to be operated as part of this program. As of Feb. 1, 2024, INFER is a project of the nonprofit RAND with support from Cultivate Labs. Previously it was managed by ARLIS, a University Affiliated Research Center supporting the U.S. Department of Defence, in partnership with Cultivate Labs. Funding for INFER also has been provided by a grant from Open Philanthropy
The following was an INFER post on LinkedIn in July of 2023:
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