More on Carolyn Meinel's Research Project:
We are evaluating the Quorum Research forecasting platform, prior use by our team in:
- IARPA's FOCUS counterfactual reasoning program
- IARPA's GJP 2.0 project, forecasting the evolution of the Covid-19 pandemic
- The Forecasting Research Institute's Existential Risk Persuasion Tournament
Examples of this platform, IARPA GJP 2.0 Covid forecasts, March 25 -- July 30, 2020.
Figure 1: Introduction for the forecaster team.
Figure 2: Introduction to the platform.
Figure 3: Participants discussing their forecasts with each other.
Figure 4: Visualizing forecasts, color coded to usernames.
Figure 5: Conditionals: forecasting effects of possible Covid-19 policies.
Figure 6: How to record forecasts when bin choices are required.
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